Eight Weeks Later, California Recall Lacks 2003 Contest Buzz

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WASHINGTON – 57 days before the election and with the official list of replacement candidates now finishedIt’s safe to say that the 2021 California governor’s recall is nothing like its 2003 predecessor.

In 2003, then-Democratic Governor Gray Davis’s approval ratings were in the 20s and 30s. In 2021, the approval of outgoing Governor Gavin Newsom is in the the 50’s.

In 2003, the biggest celebrity vying to replace Davis was Arnold Schwarzenegger. In 2021, the biggest celebrity is Caitlyn Jenner, who shot a “Celebrity Big Brother Reality TV Show Abroad in Australia instead of campaigning for governor.

In 2003, Lieutenant Governor Cruz Bustamante was a prominent Democrat running to replace Davis. In 2021, of the eight Democrats on the official list of candidates, none is a current or former elected.

In 2003, other contenders included child actor Gary Coleman, Arianna Huffington, the late Larry Flynt and former Major League Baseball Commissioner Peter Ueberroth. In 2021, other nominees include former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, 2018 GOP governor candidate John Cox, former Rep. Doug Ose – as well as real estate YouTuber Kevin Paffrath and Queen of the Panel. Los Angeles Angelyne’s display, which also ran in 2003.

And perhaps most striking of all, the 2003 California gubernatorial recall was that year’s marquee contest in the country, dominating the country’s political news. By contrast, the 2021 race was a relative snoozer, overshadowed by the increase in Covid-19 cases, heat waves, the upcoming Olympics – and even the New York mayoral race and gubernatorial contest. from Virginia.

Now that lack of attention could help depress Democratic participation, which is how Republicans could defeat Newsom in this Dem-dominated state.

But more than anything else, the lack of interest shows how strong Newsom looks right now.

Which is a significant difference from 18 years ago.

What We Learned From Last Week’s FEC Reports

One of us broke down the headlines of the Q2 FEC reports from last week, and here’s what we found:

  • Sen. Tim Scott, RS.C., led the pack among the incumbents, raising money for their re-election, raising $ 9.6 million and ending June with a war chest of $ 14.4 million of dollars. Ohio Republican Mike Gibbons raised more than any other challenger with $ 6.2 million (including nearly $ 5.7 million in loans).
  • Not counting personal loans, Rep. Val Demings, D-Fla., Raised the most of any Senate challengers with $ 4.7 million raised and $ 3.1 million in cash. Her potential GOP opponent (assuming she wins the primary, in which she is largely favored), Sen. Marco Rubio, also had a good quarter and raised $ 4 million to leave her money in hand at 6, $ 3 million.
  • Other Senate incumbents who raised $ 2 million or more for the quarter: Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., ($ 7.2 million); Mark Kelly, D-Arizona, ($ 6 million); Maggie Hassan, DN.H., ($ 3.3 million); John Kennedy, R-La., ($ 3 million); Catherine Cortez Masto, DN.M., ($ 2.8 million); Rand Paul, R-Ky., ($ 2.7 million); Tammy Duckworth, D-Ill., ($ 2.4 million); Alex Padilla, D-Calif., ($ 2.2 million); Patty Murray, D-Wash., ($ 2 million); and Todd Young, R-Ind., ($ 2 million).
  • Other notable traits: Vulnerable Senator Ron Johnson, R-Wis. ($ 1.2 million); Senator Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, ($ 1.1 million); Representative Tim Ryan, D-Ohio, ($ 3.1 million); and Democrat John Fetterman ($ 2.5 million).

Downloading data: the numbers you need to know today

$ 1.5 million: How much a Texas Democrat estimates it will cost members of the State House to stay in Washington until the state special session ends to protest a GOP-led bill adding more new voting restrictions.

5: The number of members of the Texas Democratic State House who tested positive for Covid-19 after traveling to DC

39: The number of prisoners at Guantanamo Bay after the Biden administration transferred its first inmate from the detention center.

34 207 484: The number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States, according to the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That’s 74,792 more since Friday morning.)

612 289: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far, according to the most recent data from NBC News. (That’s 706 more since Friday morning.)

337 740 358: The number of doses of vaccine administered in the United States, by the CDC.

48.6%: The share of all Americans who are fully immunized, by the CDC.

59.4%: The share of all U.S. adults 18 years of age or older who are fully immunized, by CDC.

Tweet of the day

Collapse?

As Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer scheduled a procedural vote this week on the bipartisan infrastructure package, a key payout appears to be crumbling.

“The Republicans’ chief negotiator for a bipartisan infrastructure bill said on Sunday that lawmakers had abandoned a proposal to strengthen IRS enforcement as a way to pay for the package,” according to NBC News.

“The increase in IRS enforcement of tax collection to pay for the $ 579 billion bill has emerged as a point of contention among Senate negotiators, many anti-spending conservative groups, and lawmakers. expressing their concerns. “

ICYMI: what else is happening in the world

The Biden administration blames China for the recent Microsoft Exchange hack.

Los Angeles has adopted new mask orders amid a further rise in Covid-19 cases.

Older people with serious health problems are most at risk for serious Covid-19 infections.

A new investigation by the Washington Post and 16 other media partners has revealed how private spyware was used to hack cell phones journalists, activists, businessmen and others

the Dallas Morning News Endorses GOP State Representative Jake Ellzey in the second round of legislative elections against Republican Susan Wright, whose husband represented the region until her death this year.

The pollsters are hardly explain how the 2020 election polls went wrong.

The Wall Street Journal takes a look at the rift between President Biden and Facebook on disinformation about Covid-19.





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